POTENTIAL AND DETERMINANTS OF JATROPHA CURCAS AS FEEDSTOCKS FOR BIODIESEL IN SOUTHWEST CHINA
WU Weiguang(1)(2)(3), HUANG Jikun(2)(3)
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(1)Department of Economics and Management, Zhejiang Agriculture and Forestry University, Linan311300; (2)Center forChinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of Geographic, Sciences and Natural; (3)Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing100101
Although there has been emerging trend of using Jatropha as feedstock for biodiesel in China, there is little empirical study on the potential of Jatropha production. The overall goal of this paper is to simulate the potential of Jatropha production under various scenarios in Southwest China by using a Jatropha production-decision-making-model. The results show that: 1) the potential of Jatropha seed and biodiesel based on jatropha could reach 3.2 million tons and 930 thousand tons, respectively, under baseline scenario, which are much less than the government's target on Jatropha-based biodiesel production; 2) major determinants of Jatropha plantation expansion are technology, output price, fertilizer price, and wage, of which technology is primary determinant. The results imply that China should pay particular attention to technology changes (e.g., improvements of Jatropha yield and field management technology) and energy market when the country decides to develop its large scale Jatropha based biodiesel program.
WU Weiguang
, HUANG Jikun. , {{custom_author.name_en}}.
POTENTIAL AND DETERMINANTS OF JATROPHA CURCAS AS FEEDSTOCKS FOR BIODIESEL IN SOUTHWEST CHINA. Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences, 2011, 31(3): 299-311 https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms09493
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