删失分位数变系数回归模型的~FIC 模型平均估计

吕晓玲,王小宁,孙志猛

系统科学与数学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (7) : 746-763.

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PDF(337 KB)
系统科学与数学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (7) : 746-763. DOI: 10.12341/jssms13415
论文

删失分位数变系数回归模型的~FIC 模型平均估计

    吕晓玲1,2,王小宁1,2,孙志猛3
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FIC Based Model Averaging for the Censored Quantile Varying Coefficient Regression Model

    L¨U Xiaoling 1,2 ,WANG Xiaoning 1,2 ,SUN Zhimeng3
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摘要

考虑了删失分位数变系数回归模型的~FIC 准则, 并基于~FIC 准则给出了兴趣参数的模型选择和平均估计. 为了全面反映响应变量的分布信息, 克服异常值和重尾模型误差, 文章对响应变量的不同分位数水平进行建模, 因此与普通最小二乘方法相比更为稳健. 在较为一般的条件下, 证明了所提估计的渐近性质, 通过模拟实验研究了估计的有限样本性质, 用所提方法分析了手机用户的游戏时间数据.

Abstract

We derive the focused information criterion for the censored quantile varying coefficient regression model to run model selection and model averaging for some focused parameters. We model different levels of quantiles of the censored response to depict the comprehensive characteristics of the distribution of the response and deal with outliers and heavy tailed model error, which makes the proposed method robuster than the ordinary least square procedure. Under general conditions, we show the large sample property of the proposed estimator. We conduct simulations to study the finite sample property of the estimator and apply the proposed method to analyze the dataset of the smart phone to model the playing time of the users of a game application in China.

关键词

FIC / 随机删失 / 模型不确定性 / 分位数回归.

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吕晓玲 , 王小宁 , 孙志猛. 删失分位数变系数回归模型的~FIC 模型平均估计. 系统科学与数学, 2018, 38(7): 746-763. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms13415
L¨U Xiaoling , WANG Xiaoning , SUN Zhimeng. FIC Based Model Averaging for the Censored Quantile Varying Coefficient Regression Model. Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences, 2018, 38(7): 746-763 https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms13415
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